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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington-0.16+10.24vs Predicted
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2University of California at Irvine-0.09+9.07vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.09-0.29vs Predicted
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4Stanford University1.60+2.20vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.14-0.35vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy2.08-1.13vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.66-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.04vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+2.12vs Predicted
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10California State University Monterey Bay0.14+0.58vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University-0.20+0.39vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15-4.53vs Predicted
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13University of Southern California1.72-7.29vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.95-6.10vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.03-1.43vs Predicted
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16California State University Monterey Bay0.14-5.42vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-0.97-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.24University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.07University of California at Irvine-0.090.0%1st Place
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2.71University of California at Santa Barbara3.090.3%1st Place
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6.2Stanford University1.600.1%1st Place
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4.65University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.87California Poly Maritime Academy2.080.1%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Berkeley1.660.1%1st Place
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8.04University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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11.12University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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10.58California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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11.39Western Washington University-0.200.0%1st Place
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7.47Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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5.71University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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7.9University of Washington0.950.0%1st Place
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13.57University of California at San Diego-1.030.0%1st Place
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10.58California State University Monterey Bay0.140.0%1st Place
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13.47California State University Channel Islands-0.970.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shaan Shridhar | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 7.4% | 0.0% |
| Drake Baldwin | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Neil Stapleton | 32.1% | 23.5% | 16.2% | 13.1% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nestor Cano Sostre | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 12.2% | 13.6% | 13.6% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Fisker-Andersen | 10.4% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.8% | 12.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Drake Hayes | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Prewitt | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 14.2% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.7% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Hughes | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| McKenna Roonan | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 20.0% | 35.0% | 0.0% |
| Alicia Ward | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gates | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 22.6% | 30.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.