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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.71vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.75+2.97vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+2.04vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.28+4.86vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.51+0.64vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50-0.36vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-3.57vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-2.64vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.30-3.00vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.08-0.80vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-2.46vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University1.39-3.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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4.97Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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8.86Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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5.64Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.43Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.36University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.0Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.2Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.61Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 3.8% |
| Casey Cabot | 10.9% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 11.6% | 11.7% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 21.3% |
| Alex Moreno | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.6% | 19.8% | 16.1% | 13.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 2.2% |
| John Duncan | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 28.6% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 17.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 15.8% | 20.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.