Race 2A

bu-trophy

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Lindsay Doyle 9.7% 9.8% 9.7% 10.7% 12.4% 9.7% 10.1% 9.1% 8.6% 5.0% 3.4% 1.8%
John Duncan 1.9% 2.2% 2.9% 2.5% 4.0% 5.4% 5.1% 7.8% 7.4% 12.8% 17.7% 30.3%
Jonas Nelle 9.6% 8.8% 9.8% 10.8% 9.1% 11.3% 8.6% 11.2% 9.1% 7.5% 3.1% 1.1%
Alex Moreno 8.6% 10.2% 9.9% 12.8% 9.5% 10.5% 11.9% 6.2% 8.1% 6.5% 4.4% 1.4%
Casey Cabot 11.3% 12.4% 12.9% 12.9% 9.8% 10.2% 8.8% 8.4% 5.2% 4.0% 3.4% 0.7%
Richie Gordon 6.2% 6.6% 8.1% 7.4% 9.0% 9.1% 9.0% 11.2% 11.8% 10.6% 6.6% 4.4%
Christine Klingler 23.2% 20.0% 16.5% 11.5% 9.5% 7.1% 6.0% 2.9% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Patrick Isherwood 13.2% 12.0% 11.2% 11.8% 11.3% 8.9% 9.5% 8.9% 5.5% 3.6% 3.0% 1.1%
Joseph Chamberlin 2.5% 3.3% 4.4% 4.0% 6.0% 7.5% 7.6% 9.0% 10.8% 14.2% 14.9% 15.8%
Jennifer Killian 3.4% 3.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.8% 6.6% 7.0% 7.9% 10.1% 14.3% 18.0% 17.1%
Rachel Foster 7.3% 7.4% 8.5% 8.1% 11.0% 8.9% 9.5% 10.0% 11.6% 7.8% 6.6% 3.3%
Dylan Whitcraft 3.1% 3.5% 2.9% 3.7% 3.6% 4.8% 6.9% 7.4% 9.5% 13.2% 18.6% 22.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.