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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+4.73vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+3.64vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.08+5.26vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+1.64vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+2.46vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.58-2.61vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island2.72-4.12vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.75-5.07vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.30-4.69vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.28-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.73Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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3.46Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.26Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.44Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.39University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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4.88University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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4.93Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.31Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.87Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moreno | 8.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 7.8% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.1% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Duncan | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 18.0% | 28.9% |
| Richie Gordon | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 4.3% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 17.0% | 17.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 15.1% | 16.7% | 17.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 12.5% | 11.1% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Casey Cabot | 11.5% | 13.1% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 22.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.