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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.30+5.22vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+6.41vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.72+2.03vs Predicted
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4Bates College1.28+4.89vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+0.64vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51-0.36vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.38-3.58vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-1.44vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.08+0.18vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-1.49vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.58-5.51vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.75-6.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.41Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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5.03University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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8.89Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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5.64Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.64Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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3.42Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.56U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.51Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.49University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.01Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Foster | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 15.9% | 17.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 17.9% | 23.0% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% |
| Alex Moreno | 10.0% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 23.7% | 19.2% | 18.1% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 11.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| John Duncan | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 11.5% | 18.8% | 27.0% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 14.6% | 17.9% | 18.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 10.5% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Casey Cabot | 10.8% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.