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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.51+4.68vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+6.46vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.39+5.51vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+1.67vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.75-0.01vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-2.48vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-0.48vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-2.98vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-3.78vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.30-3.82vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.08-1.65vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.28-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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8.51Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.99Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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3.52Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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5.02University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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5.22University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.18Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.35Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.87Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Moreno | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 1.4% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 14.3% | 18.0% | 15.9% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.4% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| Casey Cabot | 10.9% | 14.8% | 10.5% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.6% | 18.6% | 16.4% | 12.5% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 11.6% | 12.5% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 2.9% |
| John Duncan | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 29.8% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.