Race 2A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Tyler Lamm 18.4% 15.6% 14.0% 13.4% 10.8% 9.7% 6.8% 4.9% 2.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Roman 11.5% 11.2% 11.5% 10.7% 9.5% 9.6% 8.7% 7.4% 6.8% 5.8% 3.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1%
Mathias Reimer 9.8% 11.5% 11.2% 10.4% 9.3% 10.4% 8.3% 7.3% 6.2% 5.8% 5.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Oliver Keeves 7.2% 6.9% 6.9% 7.4% 8.6% 7.0% 9.1% 8.8% 8.6% 8.6% 7.8% 6.5% 4.0% 1.8% 0.7%
Cooper Smith 5.9% 5.5% 6.4% 5.5% 6.2% 6.8% 7.0% 9.0% 8.8% 9.4% 8.7% 9.4% 6.3% 4.0% 1.1%
Peter Taboada 5.7% 6.7% 6.2% 7.4% 6.9% 7.2% 9.6% 8.8% 7.8% 9.2% 8.3% 7.4% 5.3% 2.9% 0.4%
Nolan Cooper 4.7% 4.7% 4.6% 6.0% 5.5% 5.5% 7.2% 7.0% 8.8% 8.8% 9.0% 11.0% 9.0% 6.0% 2.1%
Luke Kenahan 3.0% 2.1% 2.5% 2.8% 3.9% 4.0% 4.8% 6.0% 6.2% 7.0% 9.5% 12.2% 13.4% 14.5% 8.1%
Dylan Balunas 5.5% 7.3% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 8.6% 7.1% 8.8% 9.2% 8.1% 8.6% 7.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.7%
Emil Tullberg 5.5% 7.1% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 6.9% 6.7% 8.3% 8.4% 8.5% 8.9% 8.5% 6.2% 3.2% 0.8%
Amanda Yolles 1.2% 1.1% 1.5% 1.1% 2.1% 1.2% 2.0% 2.5% 3.1% 3.8% 5.5% 8.0% 13.2% 21.3% 32.2%
Adrien Bellanger 9.8% 8.6% 9.0% 8.7% 10.0% 9.6% 8.9% 7.4% 8.9% 6.7% 5.8% 3.4% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Tessa Hason 1.8% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.1% 2.7% 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 5.3% 7.0% 8.8% 16.9% 20.0% 20.0%
Christopher Chwalk 9.4% 9.2% 9.0% 9.0% 9.4% 9.4% 9.2% 7.9% 7.7% 7.0% 5.1% 4.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Tyler Winowiecki 0.6% 1.1% 1.6% 0.9% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 2.5% 3.0% 4.5% 5.5% 7.6% 12.2% 22.2% 33.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.