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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.68+6.24vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.29+6.91vs Predicted
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3Boston College4.43+1.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.30+5.07vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.92+1.42vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.67+1.63vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50+1.21vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.79-1.07vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92+1.69vs Predicted
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10Stanford University3.08-0.28vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-1.62vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College3.00-1.85vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.22-3.62vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida3.29-4.82vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.65-3.51vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.86-5.27vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.21-3.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Connecticut College3.680.1%1st Place
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8.91Tufts University3.290.1%1st Place
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4.81Boston College4.430.2%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Rhode Island3.920.1%1st Place
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7.63Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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8.21Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.93Brown University3.790.1%1st Place
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10.69Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.72Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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9.38Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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10.15Eckerd College3.000.0%1st Place
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9.38College of Charleston3.220.1%1st Place
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9.18University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College2.650.0%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.07Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maggie Shea | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Catherine Swanson | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Anne Haeger | 16.1% | 15.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Krysta Rohde | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% |
| Amy Hawkins | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Emily Lambert | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.3% |
| Claire Dennis | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Elizabeth Barry | 9.6% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Haley Powell | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Charlotte Dorris | 3.9% | 2.7% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.4% |
| Corey Hall | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% |
| Abby Featherstone | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Phoebe Sprague | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 15.2% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.4% |
| Erica Lush | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 32.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.