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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.75+4.04vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+1.47vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+3.68vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45+4.46vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+0.43vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.51-0.39vs Predicted
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7Bates College1.28+1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72-3.04vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-0.56vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.08-0.78vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.30-4.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.50-7.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.04Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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3.47Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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6.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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8.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.450.0%1st Place
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5.43University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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5.61Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.68Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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4.96University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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8.44Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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9.22Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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6.3Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Cabot | 11.8% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.5% | 19.8% | 15.9% | 13.3% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% |
| Joseph Chamberlin | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 12.7% | 16.4% | 17.6% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% |
| Alex Moreno | 9.0% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 15.5% | 23.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 13.6% | 11.3% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 13.8% | 18.7% | 14.9% |
| John Duncan | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 30.4% |
| Rachel Foster | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.