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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+4.25vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.38+1.62vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.75+2.10vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+1.50vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University1.39+3.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06+1.00vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13-0.38vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51-2.35vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.08+0.38vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.50-4.30vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.30-4.51vs Predicted
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12Bates College1.28-3.00vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.25University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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3.62Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.1Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.7Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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7.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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5.65Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.38Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.7Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.49Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.0Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Isherwood | 11.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Christine Klingler | 20.1% | 19.9% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Cabot | 12.7% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 8.4% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 23.6% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Alex Moreno | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| John Duncan | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 19.3% | 30.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 1.9% |
| Rachel Foster | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 12.7% | 20.0% | 24.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.