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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.85vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+3.50vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06+3.99vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.75+1.09vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08+4.42vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.72-0.85vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.30-0.81vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51-2.32vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.39-0.34vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.38-6.44vs Predicted
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11Bates College1.28-1.89vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-6.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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5.5University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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5.09Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.42Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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5.15University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.68Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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8.66Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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3.56Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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9.11Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 4.7% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 9.1% | 10.3% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 13.7% | 9.5% | 5.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 9.9% | 13.1% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| John Duncan | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 34.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 12.6% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Rachel Foster | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Alex Moreno | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% |
| Jennifer Killian | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 19.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 20.2% | 21.5% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 10.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 20.4% | 25.3% |
| Jonas Nelle | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.