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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.50+4.89vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+3.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+3.80vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.30+2.33vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.08+4.45vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.38-2.46vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University1.39+1.55vs Predicted
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8Bates College1.28+0.82vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.51-3.40vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.58-4.45vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06-3.85vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.75-6.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.89Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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6.33Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.45Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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3.54Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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8.55Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.82Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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5.6Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.55University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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5.13Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jonas Nelle | 8.3% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 10.7% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Richie Gordon | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
| Rachel Foster | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 2.6% |
| John Duncan | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 18.8% | 33.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 22.7% | 19.3% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Killian | 4.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 14.9% | 17.6% | 19.6% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 18.7% | 25.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 9.6% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 6.6% |
| Casey Cabot | 12.5% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.