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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.13+5.27vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont2.58+3.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.38+0.36vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.51+1.36vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+0.19vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.75-1.38vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.06-0.86vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.08+0.46vs Predicted
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9Bates College1.28-0.78vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.39-2.23vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.30-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.130.1%1st Place
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5.03University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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3.36Yale University3.380.2%1st Place
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5.36Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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5.19Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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4.62Boston University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.060.1%1st Place
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8.46Tufts University1.080.0%1st Place
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8.22Bates College1.280.0%1st Place
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7.77Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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5.57Brown University2.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Gordon | 5.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% |
| Christine Klingler | 21.9% | 20.6% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Alex Moreno | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Jonas Nelle | 11.8% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 2.3% |
| Casey Cabot | 13.6% | 14.2% | 12.1% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Ryan Hennessey | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% |
| John Duncan | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 20.3% | 30.3% |
| Dylan Whitcraft | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.7% | 21.0% | 26.3% |
| Jennifer Killian | 3.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 18.4% | 20.7% |
| Rachel Foster | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.