← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University2.60+3.85vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28+3.62vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.90+1.07vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.28+4.35vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University1.82+1.88vs Predicted
-
6Boston University1.55+1.65vs Predicted
-
7University of Rhode Island2.56-2.21vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.79-2.12vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont1.74-3.07vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University1.82-4.22vs Predicted
-
12Brown University2.60-7.07vs Predicted
-
13Bates College0.37-2.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.85Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
-
5.62U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.1%1st Place
-
4.07Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
-
8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.280.0%1st Place
-
6.88Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
-
7.65Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
-
4.79University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
-
6.88Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
-
6.93University of Vermont1.740.1%1st Place
-
6.78Harvard University1.820.1%1st Place
-
4.93Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
-
10.26Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Dochoda | 13.5% | 11.1% | 12.7% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Jesse McKnight | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.9% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 18.1% | 15.3% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| John Piotti | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 14.8% | 16.7% | 15.7% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 5.6% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 15.5% | 8.9% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 13.4% | 14.9% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Leyla Senocak | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.2% | 6.0% |
| Peter Schneider | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 3.6% |
| Owen Schafer | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 4.8% |
| John Mastrandrea | 12.6% | 12.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 17.2% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.