Race 2B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matthew Gibbs 12.3% 12.7% 11.1% 10.5% 12.2% 11.3% 9.0% 6.7% 5.9% 5.7% 2.0% 0.6%
Nicholas Marwell 16.6% 17.9% 12.5% 12.5% 12.2% 9.1% 7.5% 5.3% 3.8% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Owen Schafer 6.7% 5.2% 7.5% 6.7% 7.7% 8.1% 9.9% 10.2% 12.4% 11.0% 10.1% 4.5%
Jesse McKnight 7.8% 10.8% 11.0% 10.0% 10.7% 10.2% 10.0% 8.6% 8.7% 6.2% 4.3% 1.7%
Peter Schneider 5.0% 6.4% 6.3% 6.9% 7.6% 8.8% 8.6% 11.0% 10.0% 11.4% 11.6% 6.4%
Kyle Dochoda 14.1% 11.9% 11.7% 12.5% 10.5% 11.2% 9.5% 6.4% 5.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.5%
Grace Vincens 6.3% 6.7% 8.2% 7.0% 9.1% 7.5% 8.7% 12.1% 9.6% 11.5% 9.0% 4.3%
Skye Shepherd 6.0% 5.0% 5.6% 6.6% 5.9% 6.8% 7.7% 9.5% 11.6% 12.8% 14.4% 8.1%
John Mastrandrea 14.3% 12.5% 14.6% 11.9% 10.3% 10.1% 9.5% 7.2% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Leyla Senocak 6.4% 6.1% 6.8% 7.4% 7.1% 8.6% 9.4% 11.3% 10.7% 10.7% 10.0% 5.5%
John Piotti 3.4% 2.7% 3.6% 5.6% 4.4% 6.3% 7.4% 8.3% 10.1% 13.2% 19.1% 15.9%
Amy Macdonald 1.1% 2.1% 1.1% 2.4% 2.3% 2.0% 2.8% 3.4% 6.1% 8.4% 16.0% 52.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.