Race 3B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Schneider 5.4% 5.4% 5.6% 7.4% 8.4% 7.4% 9.1% 10.5% 12.0% 10.3% 12.3% 6.2%
Owen Schafer 5.4% 5.8% 8.0% 8.4% 7.3% 7.3% 9.3% 11.3% 11.7% 11.4% 9.0% 5.1%
Kyle Dochoda 13.4% 12.1% 12.9% 10.3% 11.0% 10.1% 9.6% 7.9% 6.9% 3.8% 1.7% 0.3%
Jesse McKnight 8.4% 9.6% 11.2% 11.0% 10.3% 12.0% 8.6% 9.1% 6.2% 7.2% 5.0% 1.4%
Nicholas Marwell 17.4% 18.7% 14.5% 10.6% 9.6% 10.1% 6.9% 4.9% 3.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.2%
John Mastrandrea 13.7% 11.2% 13.5% 12.0% 12.3% 9.0% 8.8% 8.2% 4.0% 4.8% 2.0% 0.5%
Matthew Gibbs 13.8% 13.8% 12.5% 10.4% 10.4% 9.5% 9.2% 6.8% 6.8% 4.4% 1.8% 0.6%
John Piotti 3.8% 5.3% 3.6% 4.8% 5.7% 6.4% 6.9% 8.5% 9.1% 12.1% 19.2% 14.6%
Grace Vincens 5.9% 5.9% 6.6% 9.1% 9.3% 8.4% 10.0% 11.0% 11.3% 9.9% 9.1% 3.5%
Skye Shepherd 5.2% 5.1% 5.2% 6.3% 6.0% 7.2% 9.0% 9.1% 10.6% 14.8% 12.9% 8.6%
Amy Macdonald 1.7% 1.3% 0.9% 1.7% 2.3% 3.4% 3.1% 3.0% 6.3% 7.5% 14.4% 54.4%
Leyla Senocak 5.9% 5.8% 5.5% 8.0% 7.4% 9.2% 9.5% 9.7% 11.7% 11.2% 11.5% 4.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.