Race 4B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Dochoda 13.5% 11.2% 12.6% 12.5% 10.4% 10.1% 10.9% 6.5% 5.3% 4.2% 1.9% 0.9%
Nicholas Marwell 17.2% 17.9% 14.3% 13.0% 10.5% 8.7% 7.3% 5.2% 2.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Matthew Gibbs 13.4% 11.1% 12.3% 12.4% 10.4% 10.2% 10.0% 8.8% 5.0% 3.8% 2.0% 0.6%
Skye Shepherd 3.9% 3.8% 5.6% 5.9% 7.7% 7.8% 9.2% 8.9% 11.1% 12.8% 13.5% 9.8%
Owen Schafer 5.6% 6.9% 6.6% 8.2% 8.6% 7.5% 9.4% 9.0% 10.6% 11.4% 9.9% 6.3%
Jesse McKnight 8.9% 11.8% 9.1% 8.1% 10.3% 12.5% 8.5% 9.4% 9.4% 7.0% 3.7% 1.3%
Leyla Senocak 6.3% 6.9% 7.1% 7.9% 9.0% 6.1% 8.2% 10.9% 10.9% 11.1% 11.1% 4.5%
John Mastrandrea 15.3% 13.6% 12.0% 11.9% 9.4% 8.6% 9.6% 7.5% 5.9% 2.9% 2.3% 1.0%
Peter Schneider 4.6% 5.7% 7.6% 7.1% 9.5% 9.8% 8.0% 10.2% 11.2% 11.1% 11.5% 3.7%
Amy Macdonald 1.5% 1.5% 2.6% 2.0% 2.2% 2.8% 3.1% 4.5% 5.7% 8.2% 14.6% 51.3%
Grace Vincens 5.6% 5.4% 7.4% 6.8% 6.9% 9.6% 8.8% 10.5% 11.4% 11.7% 9.8% 6.1%
John Piotti 4.2% 4.2% 2.8% 4.2% 5.1% 6.3% 7.0% 8.6% 10.6% 13.6% 19.1% 14.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.