Race 1A

gavin

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Casey Dietsch 5.4% 7.6% 9.2% 12.4% 14.4% 18.4% 16.4% 12.8% 3.0% 0.2%
Lorenzo Puertas 47.0% 27.2% 15.6% 6.4% 2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Marco Constantini 12.3% 14.1% 17.2% 16.8% 17.1% 11.8% 6.9% 3.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Lucas Rodenroth 16.7% 23.2% 20.1% 16.4% 11.7% 7.2% 3.5% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Alex Cross 5.5% 9.8% 10.4% 13.5% 15.0% 15.7% 16.2% 11.3% 2.2% 0.2%
Ella Beck 6.0% 8.9% 13.9% 13.3% 15.7% 14.8% 14.8% 10.1% 2.1% 0.3%
Reed Rossell 2.9% 3.7% 5.2% 7.8% 8.8% 12.3% 18.2% 28.4% 10.8% 1.8%
Josh Hacker 3.4% 4.7% 7.0% 10.3% 12.2% 15.8% 18.2% 21.3% 6.7% 0.4%
Piper Luke 0.2% 0.3% 0.8% 0.9% 1.1% 1.2% 2.2% 6.1% 29.3% 57.9%
Cooper Avery 0.5% 0.5% 0.7% 2.1% 1.0% 2.2% 3.3% 5.2% 45.3% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.