Race 3A

sister-esther

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mathias Reimer 10.9% 11.2% 10.8% 10.1% 11.3% 8.2% 8.2% 7.2% 7.2% 6.5% 4.0% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Cooper Smith 5.0% 5.1% 7.2% 5.6% 7.2% 7.4% 6.9% 8.1% 8.2% 8.3% 9.8% 8.1% 8.2% 3.9% 0.9%
Tyler Lamm 19.9% 15.7% 14.4% 12.5% 9.4% 8.4% 7.1% 4.9% 3.4% 2.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Dylan Balunas 6.4% 6.6% 6.4% 7.1% 8.5% 8.3% 7.8% 8.0% 8.3% 8.8% 7.5% 8.0% 4.7% 2.8% 0.9%
Jack Roman 10.7% 12.7% 11.1% 11.5% 10.8% 9.0% 8.2% 8.4% 5.9% 4.9% 3.2% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Adrien Bellanger 9.7% 9.0% 9.8% 10.1% 9.4% 8.2% 9.6% 7.5% 7.1% 6.7% 6.4% 3.6% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1%
Peter Taboada 6.4% 8.2% 6.7% 8.3% 7.0% 7.1% 7.0% 9.2% 8.8% 9.8% 8.0% 5.6% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6%
Owen Grainger 6.6% 6.1% 5.8% 6.7% 7.4% 7.3% 8.7% 7.8% 8.6% 8.3% 8.7% 7.8% 6.3% 3.4% 0.7%
Emil Tullberg 6.7% 5.8% 5.9% 7.1% 7.0% 8.0% 8.1% 8.6% 10.2% 7.5% 7.9% 7.5% 5.9% 3.0% 0.9%
Oliver Keeves 7.7% 8.2% 7.7% 7.6% 6.8% 8.5% 9.6% 8.3% 7.1% 8.4% 7.6% 6.0% 3.9% 2.0% 0.6%
Amanda Yolles 1.3% 0.8% 1.8% 1.0% 1.2% 2.5% 2.4% 2.5% 3.5% 3.5% 5.1% 8.1% 12.0% 20.6% 33.6%
Nolan Cooper 4.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.9% 6.0% 7.3% 7.0% 8.5% 7.9% 7.8% 10.2% 10.6% 8.5% 4.9% 1.5%
Luke Kenahan 2.6% 3.1% 4.0% 3.0% 3.6% 4.7% 4.0% 5.5% 6.3% 8.0% 7.8% 12.7% 13.3% 13.6% 7.6%
Tessa Hason 1.2% 1.5% 1.7% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.3% 4.3% 5.3% 7.3% 9.0% 15.1% 21.6% 19.5%
Tyler Winowiecki 1.1% 1.1% 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 2.9% 4.0% 5.0% 7.4% 12.8% 20.6% 33.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.