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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+5.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.53+4.87vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.48+4.21vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+3.91vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.75+4.89vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+3.60vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston2.40+4.44vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.86+1.47vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.74-2.60vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.48-2.89vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.70-0.52vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.56+2.06vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.18-4.48vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.46vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.93-5.61vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.91-6.50vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.41-5.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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6.87Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.89Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.6Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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11.44College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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9.47University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.11Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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10.48University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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14.06Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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9.39University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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9.5Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Jennifer Adler | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% |
| Carly Shevitz | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 10.3% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% |
| Briana Provancha | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% |
| Bianca Rom | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 13.3% | 43.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Kaye Siemers | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Sarah Fiske | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.