Race 5B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Peter Schneider 5.4% 5.8% 6.0% 6.4% 7.0% 7.6% 10.4% 10.8% 10.9% 11.7% 11.5% 6.5%
Skye Shepherd 3.9% 4.5% 6.8% 5.7% 5.9% 8.5% 7.4% 8.1% 12.3% 14.0% 14.4% 8.5%
Kyle Dochoda 13.8% 11.1% 12.7% 11.1% 12.2% 10.3% 8.5% 9.2% 4.9% 3.9% 1.5% 0.8%
Jesse McKnight 8.7% 9.4% 11.2% 10.7% 10.9% 9.2% 10.9% 8.5% 7.5% 7.8% 3.6% 1.6%
John Mastrandrea 12.7% 14.9% 13.2% 10.0% 10.2% 9.2% 10.2% 6.1% 6.3% 3.7% 2.7% 0.8%
Nicholas Marwell 18.6% 15.5% 14.8% 12.2% 11.3% 9.4% 6.9% 4.5% 3.8% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Owen Schafer 6.4% 6.5% 7.4% 8.5% 7.1% 8.7% 8.2% 10.9% 11.1% 11.4% 8.8% 5.0%
John Piotti 4.1% 5.2% 3.6% 5.2% 5.2% 6.2% 6.8% 8.4% 9.4% 11.9% 18.9% 15.1%
Leyla Senocak 5.8% 6.1% 5.6% 8.9% 8.6% 9.7% 10.1% 11.2% 10.0% 9.6% 10.8% 3.6%
Grace Vincens 7.1% 6.5% 5.0% 8.3% 8.2% 9.2% 8.4% 11.3% 10.9% 10.5% 9.7% 4.9%
Matthew Gibbs 12.2% 12.8% 11.8% 10.8% 11.5% 9.9% 9.3% 7.8% 6.4% 4.5% 2.1% 0.9%
Amy Macdonald 1.3% 1.7% 1.9% 2.2% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 6.5% 8.6% 15.5% 52.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.