Race 6B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Marwell 17.2% 15.5% 13.3% 14.5% 11.1% 9.5% 6.3% 5.1% 4.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Jesse McKnight 8.3% 10.7% 10.7% 8.3% 11.0% 10.0% 11.2% 9.2% 8.1% 7.0% 4.4% 1.1%
Peter Schneider 6.5% 4.4% 6.2% 7.6% 6.8% 7.8% 9.1% 10.2% 11.8% 12.9% 10.9% 5.8%
Skye Shepherd 3.8% 4.4% 5.0% 6.8% 7.4% 7.7% 9.1% 9.3% 12.1% 10.8% 14.3% 9.3%
Kyle Dochoda 12.3% 15.2% 13.1% 10.6% 10.6% 9.9% 8.6% 7.3% 5.3% 3.5% 3.1% 0.5%
Matthew Gibbs 13.1% 11.6% 12.5% 11.6% 12.0% 9.1% 10.2% 7.5% 5.6% 4.0% 2.6% 0.2%
Grace Vincens 6.0% 7.4% 7.0% 7.3% 9.1% 8.7% 8.5% 10.6% 10.8% 11.2% 8.8% 4.6%
Leyla Senocak 6.7% 5.9% 6.3% 8.6% 7.3% 8.2% 8.8% 10.8% 10.4% 11.6% 10.7% 4.7%
John Mastrandrea 13.4% 14.2% 14.5% 10.7% 11.2% 10.5% 7.9% 7.9% 5.1% 2.5% 2.0% 0.1%
Owen Schafer 7.0% 5.7% 7.0% 8.0% 6.5% 9.1% 10.3% 9.7% 10.1% 12.1% 9.5% 5.0%
Amy Macdonald 1.8% 1.5% 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 3.2% 4.2% 5.6% 8.7% 13.6% 54.2%
John Piotti 3.9% 3.5% 3.4% 4.4% 4.9% 7.0% 6.8% 8.2% 10.9% 13.3% 19.5% 14.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.