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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Dochoda 12.5% 12.1% 12.1% 11.0% 11.3% 11.2% 8.4% 7.5% 5.9% 4.6% 2.6% 0.8%
Jesse McKnight 8.5% 10.3% 8.7% 10.7% 10.1% 9.5% 10.0% 9.3% 9.5% 7.1% 4.5% 1.8%
Nicholas Marwell 17.8% 15.6% 14.5% 10.9% 10.9% 10.4% 8.0% 5.4% 3.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
James Peraire-Bueno 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 7.3% 9.0% 8.3% 9.4% 9.4% 12.2% 11.1% 10.1% 6.5%
Matthew Gibbs 12.3% 13.9% 11.6% 10.5% 10.2% 10.6% 8.9% 7.7% 5.3% 4.8% 3.4% 0.8%
Skye Shepherd 4.1% 4.7% 6.1% 6.2% 4.6% 6.6% 9.0% 8.5% 11.4% 11.5% 17.9% 9.4%
Grace Vincens 5.7% 7.0% 6.7% 8.6% 7.8% 8.0% 8.7% 9.9% 10.4% 10.7% 11.1% 5.4%
Leyla Senocak 7.3% 5.4% 5.9% 7.3% 8.0% 8.2% 8.2% 9.8% 10.8% 11.5% 11.7% 5.9%
John Mastrandrea 13.1% 13.2% 14.5% 11.5% 10.7% 10.4% 8.5% 7.5% 4.0% 4.3% 2.1% 0.2%
Peter Schneider 6.3% 5.9% 5.9% 6.4% 7.4% 7.7% 8.9% 10.1% 11.0% 12.1% 11.8% 6.5%
Amy Macdonald 1.6% 1.3% 1.5% 1.5% 1.6% 2.6% 3.0% 4.2% 5.2% 6.5% 13.8% 57.2%
Owen Schafer 5.7% 5.1% 6.4% 8.1% 8.4% 6.5% 9.0% 10.7% 10.7% 13.6% 10.4% 5.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.