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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.60+3.97vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.90+2.15vs Predicted
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3Harvard University1.82+4.04vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.74+3.28vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.55+2.70vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.80+1.09vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.56-2.06vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.79-1.01vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.60-4.32vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.28-4.32vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University1.82-3.88vs Predicted
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12Bates College0.37-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.97Boston University2.600.1%1st Place
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4.15Yale University2.900.2%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University1.820.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Vermont1.740.0%1st Place
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7.7Boston University1.550.0%1st Place
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7.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.800.1%1st Place
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4.94University of Rhode Island2.560.1%1st Place
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6.99Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.68Brown University2.600.1%1st Place
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5.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.280.1%1st Place
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7.12Salve Regina University1.820.1%1st Place
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10.36Bates College0.370.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Dochoda | 12.4% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Marwell | 16.7% | 17.5% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Owen Schafer | 6.2% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 4.8% |
| Peter Schneider | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 7.1% |
| Skye Shepherd | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 14.1% | 14.7% | 10.4% |
| James Peraire-Bueno | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 5.8% |
| Matthew Gibbs | 12.8% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% |
| Leyla Senocak | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 6.3% |
| John Mastrandrea | 14.0% | 12.4% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 12.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Jesse McKnight | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% |
| Grace Vincens | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 6.1% |
| Amy Macdonald | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 14.9% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.