Race 9B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Nicholas Marwell 17.3% 14.7% 15.0% 13.0% 10.5% 8.8% 8.2% 5.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Grace Vincens 5.3% 5.1% 7.9% 8.6% 7.5% 8.5% 8.1% 9.6% 11.2% 12.0% 10.6% 5.6%
Matthew Gibbs 13.4% 10.8% 11.4% 12.5% 10.1% 10.2% 9.5% 8.1% 7.2% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
Jesse McKnight 8.0% 10.9% 8.6% 11.8% 10.2% 9.1% 10.0% 9.3% 7.8% 7.5% 5.2% 1.6%
John Mastrandrea 12.8% 13.1% 12.9% 10.7% 11.0% 8.6% 9.8% 7.4% 5.2% 5.0% 2.5% 1.0%
Peter Schneider 5.0% 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 6.7% 8.6% 8.6% 9.7% 10.6% 12.9% 12.2% 6.7%
Owen Schafer 6.3% 6.4% 7.5% 7.5% 7.9% 7.8% 8.2% 9.9% 11.1% 10.1% 11.8% 5.5%
Kyle Dochoda 15.0% 14.0% 10.8% 10.1% 9.6% 10.8% 10.0% 7.8% 5.0% 3.3% 2.2% 1.4%
Skye Shepherd 4.1% 4.7% 5.1% 5.2% 7.7% 8.2% 9.3% 9.8% 11.6% 11.3% 15.9% 7.1%
Leyla Senocak 6.2% 6.4% 6.6% 6.2% 8.7% 7.6% 8.6% 9.4% 10.7% 12.3% 11.2% 6.1%
James Peraire-Bueno 5.4% 5.2% 6.6% 6.2% 8.2% 9.3% 7.5% 10.7% 10.2% 11.8% 11.5% 7.4%
Amy Macdonald 1.2% 1.9% 1.5% 2.1% 1.9% 2.5% 2.2% 3.1% 6.0% 7.0% 13.8% 56.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.