Race 10B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jesse McKnight 9.2% 9.6% 9.7% 8.9% 9.3% 10.8% 10.8% 8.4% 8.8% 6.7% 6.1% 1.7%
Nicholas Marwell 16.9% 17.4% 14.3% 12.3% 11.3% 7.4% 7.2% 6.8% 3.1% 2.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Kyle Dochoda 13.0% 12.5% 12.7% 10.4% 11.3% 9.2% 10.0% 8.5% 6.9% 2.7% 2.0% 0.8%
James Peraire-Bueno 4.9% 5.4% 6.8% 8.2% 6.3% 10.5% 7.8% 10.7% 10.0% 12.1% 11.0% 6.3%
Owen Schafer 5.1% 7.7% 6.9% 8.3% 7.1% 8.3% 8.2% 8.4% 10.4% 11.4% 11.7% 6.5%
Matthew Gibbs 13.5% 11.5% 11.3% 10.8% 12.2% 9.3% 10.9% 7.3% 5.4% 5.1% 2.1% 0.6%
John Mastrandrea 14.2% 13.3% 12.8% 11.9% 8.4% 9.6% 7.7% 8.1% 7.3% 3.9% 2.0% 0.8%
Amy Macdonald 1.0% 1.6% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 2.7% 3.9% 3.2% 6.0% 8.0% 11.7% 54.6%
Leyla Senocak 5.5% 5.4% 7.1% 6.7% 10.1% 8.8% 8.0% 9.5% 11.5% 10.6% 11.3% 5.5%
Grace Vincens 6.7% 6.3% 7.2% 6.5% 7.8% 8.3% 9.9% 9.9% 9.6% 11.8% 10.4% 5.6%
Skye Shepherd 4.0% 4.0% 5.2% 5.8% 6.0% 7.0% 7.2% 8.4% 11.5% 13.3% 17.8% 9.8%
Peter Schneider 6.0% 5.3% 3.9% 7.7% 7.5% 8.1% 8.4% 10.8% 9.5% 12.1% 12.9% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.