Race 11B

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Kyle Dochoda 12.1% 11.2% 11.9% 13.6% 11.9% 9.3% 8.7% 7.2% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.8%
Matthew Gibbs 11.9% 12.9% 12.3% 11.1% 10.6% 9.3% 9.4% 8.4% 6.8% 4.2% 2.8% 0.3%
Skye Shepherd 5.4% 3.3% 4.8% 6.5% 6.7% 6.5% 6.9% 8.5% 11.3% 14.0% 15.7% 10.4%
Leyla Senocak 4.8% 5.8% 6.7% 7.2% 7.5% 9.4% 9.8% 10.4% 9.5% 10.6% 11.5% 6.8%
Nicholas Marwell 18.0% 18.3% 12.5% 9.8% 11.4% 9.8% 7.0% 5.1% 3.9% 2.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Peter Schneider 5.2% 6.8% 6.2% 5.4% 6.9% 7.6% 9.8% 10.0% 10.7% 10.5% 13.9% 7.0%
James Peraire-Bueno 6.6% 6.9% 6.2% 7.1% 8.2% 8.6% 7.7% 10.4% 8.7% 13.0% 10.6% 6.0%
Owen Schafer 7.4% 5.7% 7.9% 5.7% 7.0% 9.8% 7.5% 11.6% 9.9% 11.2% 10.7% 5.6%
Jesse McKnight 8.8% 9.8% 11.8% 12.1% 9.2% 9.9% 9.3% 8.6% 9.2% 5.6% 4.0% 1.7%
Amy Macdonald 1.2% 2.2% 1.9% 2.3% 1.6% 2.7% 2.3% 4.8% 6.0% 7.0% 13.9% 54.1%
Grace Vincens 5.8% 5.0% 6.5% 7.0% 7.8% 7.0% 11.9% 7.6% 10.9% 12.7% 11.4% 6.4%
John Mastrandrea 12.8% 12.1% 11.3% 12.2% 11.2% 10.1% 9.7% 7.4% 6.3% 4.2% 2.2% 0.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.