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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+2.03vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+3.25vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+2.37vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76-1.70vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.18+0.46vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.78-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.23-1.56vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island1.68-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.03University of Rhode Island2.930.2%1st Place
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5.25University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.37Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.3Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.3University of Rhode Island2.760.2%1st Place
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6.46Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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6.44University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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5.51University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 25.0% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 6.4% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 12.6% | 11.4% | 9.8% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.1% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 12.2% | 13.9% | 14.6% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 4.0% |
| Brendan Read | 24.0% | 21.1% | 14.2% | 13.5% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Carter Brock | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 21.3% | 24.3% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.5% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 16.2% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 9.8% |
| Joshua Stone | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 27.8% |
| Kyle Nannig | 7.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 11.4% | 13.3% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.