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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Luke Ingalls 25.0% 22.6% 17.8% 13.1% 10.5% 4.9% 4.2% 1.7% 0.2%
Matthew Schryver 6.4% 8.2% 12.0% 12.4% 13.9% 13.3% 12.6% 11.4% 9.8%
Tyler Paige 7.1% 8.6% 10.6% 11.1% 10.7% 14.0% 14.2% 13.5% 10.2%
Sean Beaulieu 12.2% 13.9% 14.6% 15.9% 12.6% 11.3% 8.6% 6.9% 4.0%
Brendan Read 24.0% 21.1% 14.2% 13.5% 10.4% 7.5% 5.1% 2.9% 1.3%
Carter Brock 4.6% 4.9% 6.3% 6.4% 8.9% 9.4% 13.9% 21.3% 24.3%
Christopher Pearson 7.5% 8.5% 10.1% 10.2% 11.7% 16.2% 14.1% 11.9% 9.8%
Joshua Stone 5.7% 4.7% 5.2% 6.7% 9.9% 10.1% 13.1% 16.8% 27.8%
Kyle Nannig 7.5% 7.5% 9.2% 10.7% 11.4% 13.3% 14.2% 13.6% 12.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.