← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Tyler Paige 8.0% 8.2% 10.7% 9.8% 12.3% 12.5% 13.8% 14.9% 9.8%
Luke Ingalls 20.7% 24.8% 16.4% 13.9% 10.6% 6.7% 3.6% 2.3% 1.0%
Brendan Read 23.5% 17.2% 16.3% 14.9% 11.5% 8.1% 6.2% 1.6% 0.7%
Kyle Nannig 6.8% 8.2% 10.0% 10.3% 11.4% 14.7% 12.2% 14.0% 12.4%
Matthew Schryver 9.7% 12.5% 11.9% 13.0% 12.0% 11.6% 10.7% 10.7% 7.9%
Joshua Stone 4.6% 4.6% 6.4% 8.1% 7.9% 10.0% 15.1% 18.1% 25.2%
Christopher Pearson 8.2% 7.5% 9.7% 10.6% 12.5% 13.8% 14.5% 14.0% 9.2%
Sean Beaulieu 13.3% 13.1% 13.0% 12.9% 13.2% 13.3% 8.8% 7.9% 4.5%
Carter Brock 5.2% 3.9% 5.6% 6.5% 8.6% 9.3% 15.1% 16.5% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.