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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+3.18vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+1.46vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+1.19vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.93-2.00vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.23+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.78-1.68vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.68-2.46vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-2.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of Rhode Island2.760.2%1st Place
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5.18University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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4.46Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.19Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.0University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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6.38University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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6.56Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 20.2% | 21.0% | 16.5% | 15.0% | 11.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schryver | 6.9% | 8.5% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 13.3% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 8.8% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 10.9% | 13.2% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 3.1% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.0% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 13.1% | 12.5% | 12.1% | 10.0% |
| Luke Ingalls | 29.0% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 19.1% | 24.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.3% | 9.7% |
| Kyle Nannig | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 13.8% |
| Carter Brock | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 13.0% | 18.0% | 29.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.