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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University1.60+4.49vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.84+5.63vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.95+4.27vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.59+1.48vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.14-1.12vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island0.82+1.66vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University-0.93+5.41vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.18-1.80vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.42-0.54vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University0.77-2.72vs Predicted
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11McGill University-0.53+0.57vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.67+0.15vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University0.46-5.31vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-3.90vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.08-8.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.49Roger Williams University1.6010.5%1st Place
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7.63University of Vermont0.846.7%1st Place
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7.27Boston University0.956.2%1st Place
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5.48Yale University1.5911.7%1st Place
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3.88Brown University2.1419.9%1st Place
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7.66University of Rhode Island0.825.5%1st Place
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12.41Salve Regina University-0.931.2%1st Place
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6.2Tufts University1.188.3%1st Place
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8.46Fairfield University0.424.2%1st Place
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7.28Northeastern University0.776.7%1st Place
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11.57McGill University-0.531.7%1st Place
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12.15Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
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7.69Salve Regina University0.465.5%1st Place
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10.1Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.8%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University1.087.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Roman | 10.5% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Mathias Reimer | 11.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Lamm | 19.9% | 17.7% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Grainger | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 11.7% | 19.8% | 35.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 14.8% | 19.9% | 19.7% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 20.3% | 29.2% |
| Emil Tullberg | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 13.2% | 8.2% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.