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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.18+7.20vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+5.79vs Predicted
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3Connecticut College3.71+3.33vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.91+5.51vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.48+1.99vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.92+3.57vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.74-0.80vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.93+1.21vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-1.39vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston2.40+1.35vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.53-3.84vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.86-2.34vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.70-2.54vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.56+0.20vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.48-7.83vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.75-5.85vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.41-5.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.2Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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6.33Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.51Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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6.99Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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9.57Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.2Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.21University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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7.61Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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11.35College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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7.16Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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9.66University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
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10.46University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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14.2Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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11.47Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Wheeler | 7.7% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
| Briana Provancha | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 3.1% |
| Hanna Vincent | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 11.4% | 11.0% |
| Jennifer Adler | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 3.9% |
| Hillary Noble | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.9% |
| Bianca Rom | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 14.4% | 44.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 3.6% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Fiske | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 11.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.