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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+2.39vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+0.05vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+1.24vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94-0.14vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.23+0.43vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University1.18-0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.68-2.46vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.39University of Rhode Island2.760.2%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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5.24University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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6.43University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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6.6Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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4.38Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 20.4% | 20.1% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 10.9% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Paige | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 13.1% | 12.7% | 14.9% | 14.5% | 10.6% |
| Luke Ingalls | 26.5% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 10.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 25.3% |
| Carter Brock | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 29.0% |
| Kyle Nannig | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 17.1% | 12.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.3% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.