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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+2.02vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.78+3.54vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+2.06vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.79+1.20vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.76-1.69vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.68-0.50vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-2.59vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.23-1.58vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.02University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.06University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.2Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.31University of Rhode Island2.760.2%1st Place
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5.5University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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4.41Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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6.54Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 25.5% | 21.9% | 17.4% | 14.3% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Pearson | 5.4% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 12.1% |
| Matthew Schryver | 8.1% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 12.0% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 12.7% | 6.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 12.9% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.3% |
| Brendan Read | 23.4% | 21.2% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Kyle Nannig | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 12.9% | 12.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 11.6% | 12.5% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 13.9% | 12.6% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 3.3% |
| Joshua Stone | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 14.9% | 16.3% | 27.1% |
| Carter Brock | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 28.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.