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📊 Prediction Accuracy

44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Luke Ingalls 25.5% 21.9% 17.4% 14.3% 8.9% 6.8% 3.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Christopher Pearson 5.4% 7.6% 10.0% 12.2% 12.4% 12.1% 14.5% 13.7% 12.1%
Matthew Schryver 8.1% 10.6% 11.1% 12.0% 12.4% 12.9% 13.9% 12.7% 6.3%
Tyler Paige 8.0% 9.8% 11.2% 10.9% 12.9% 11.8% 13.0% 13.1% 9.3%
Brendan Read 23.4% 21.2% 15.9% 11.5% 10.5% 8.5% 4.8% 3.1% 1.1%
Kyle Nannig 7.5% 6.6% 9.9% 10.4% 12.5% 14.2% 13.6% 12.9% 12.4%
Sean Beaulieu 11.6% 12.5% 14.7% 14.3% 13.9% 12.6% 8.5% 8.6% 3.3%
Joshua Stone 6.0% 4.3% 5.3% 7.0% 9.4% 9.7% 14.9% 16.3% 27.1%
Carter Brock 4.5% 5.5% 4.5% 7.4% 7.1% 11.4% 13.4% 18.1% 28.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.