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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+2.37vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island1.94+3.20vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.93+0.05vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+0.32vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.78+0.21vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.68-0.46vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.79-1.67vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont1.23-1.58vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-2.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.37University of Rhode Island2.760.2%1st Place
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5.2University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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4.32Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.21University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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5.33Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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6.57Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 21.1% | 20.0% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 7.1% | 8.3% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 8.8% |
| Luke Ingalls | 26.2% | 20.6% | 17.7% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 12.7% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 3.9% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.7% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 10.8% |
| Kyle Nannig | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 12.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 15.2% | 13.4% | 13.5% | 9.1% |
| Joshua Stone | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.8% | 18.5% | 26.0% |
| Carter Brock | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.