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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+2.05vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.79+3.52vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.76+0.38vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont1.23+2.32vs Predicted
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5Salve Regina University2.21-0.64vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.78-0.70vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.68-1.47vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.94-3.01vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-2.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.05University of Rhode Island2.930.2%1st Place
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5.52Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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3.38University of Rhode Island2.760.2%1st Place
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6.32University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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4.36Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.3University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.53University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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4.99University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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6.55Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 24.6% | 23.1% | 17.3% | 13.1% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Tyler Paige | 5.8% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.9% | 14.7% | 14.2% | 11.1% |
| Brendan Read | 21.2% | 19.2% | 17.1% | 13.4% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Joshua Stone | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 25.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 12.9% | 16.3% | 12.4% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 4.4% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.7% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 13.9% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 10.4% |
| Kyle Nannig | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 14.7% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 11.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 10.5% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 8.4% |
| Carter Brock | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 17.8% | 28.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.