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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.76+1.50vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.21+1.45vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+1.26vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.94-0.14vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.79-0.72vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont1.23-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.68-2.48vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-2.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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3.5University of Rhode Island2.760.2%1st Place
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4.45Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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4.86University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.28Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
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5.52University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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6.54Northeastern University1.180.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 25.8% | 20.0% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 17.8% | 21.9% | 17.0% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 12.6% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 7.1% | 4.3% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.9% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 13.3% | 12.1% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 10.0% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.5% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 13.9% | 13.9% | 12.0% | 9.4% |
| Joshua Stone | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 13.7% | 20.2% | 25.4% |
| Kyle Nannig | 8.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 16.0% | 12.0% |
| Carter Brock | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.