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📊 Prediction Accuracy

55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Luke Ingalls 26.4% 22.3% 17.0% 13.2% 10.1% 6.0% 3.6% 1.2% 0.2%
Joshua Stone 3.5% 3.8% 6.0% 6.9% 9.3% 11.9% 15.6% 21.2% 21.8%
Tyler Paige 7.5% 8.6% 10.5% 11.3% 12.0% 14.2% 14.4% 15.3% 6.2%
Matthew Schryver 9.6% 11.4% 12.6% 13.4% 12.4% 13.0% 13.1% 10.3% 4.2%
Kyle Nannig 8.2% 9.2% 10.9% 11.8% 11.3% 10.9% 13.7% 14.7% 9.3%
Christopher Pearson 7.7% 9.3% 9.0% 12.2% 12.4% 16.6% 14.4% 11.2% 7.2%
Sean Beaulieu 12.1% 12.9% 14.1% 12.9% 16.2% 11.3% 10.3% 7.3% 2.9%
Brendan Read 22.3% 19.3% 16.9% 14.0% 11.7% 7.5% 5.3% 2.4% 0.6%
Ben Palmer 2.7% 3.2% 3.0% 4.3% 4.6% 8.6% 9.6% 16.4% 47.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.