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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.93+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.23+4.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.79+2.26vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.94+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.68+0.26vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.78-0.81vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.21-2.63vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76-4.67vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.57-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of Rhode Island2.930.3%1st Place
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6.5University of Vermont1.230.0%1st Place
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5.26Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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4.76University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.26University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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5.19University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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4.37Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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3.33University of Rhode Island2.760.2%1st Place
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7.37Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Ingalls | 26.4% | 22.3% | 17.0% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Joshua Stone | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 15.6% | 21.2% | 21.8% |
| Tyler Paige | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 14.2% | 14.4% | 15.3% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 13.4% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 4.2% |
| Kyle Nannig | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 9.3% |
| Christopher Pearson | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 16.6% | 14.4% | 11.2% | 7.2% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 12.1% | 12.9% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Brendan Read | 22.3% | 19.3% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 16.4% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.