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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.76+2.29vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.93+1.14vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.94+1.95vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.78+1.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.79+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.68-0.62vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.57+0.47vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.21-3.64vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont1.23-2.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.29University of Rhode Island2.760.2%1st Place
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3.14University of Rhode Island2.930.2%1st Place
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4.95University of Rhode Island1.940.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Rhode Island1.780.1%1st Place
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5.04Tufts University1.790.1%1st Place
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5.38University of Rhode Island1.680.1%1st Place
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7.47Northeastern University0.570.0%1st Place
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4.36Salve Regina University2.210.1%1st Place
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6.28University of Vermont1.230.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Read | 23.3% | 17.7% | 17.6% | 14.9% | 11.3% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Luke Ingalls | 22.9% | 23.4% | 16.2% | 13.7% | 10.5% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Schryver | 9.1% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.3% | 6.2% |
| Christopher Pearson | 8.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 11.3% | 13.6% | 12.8% | 13.3% | 13.3% | 6.6% |
| Tyler Paige | 8.0% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 15.1% | 12.8% | 6.5% |
| Kyle Nannig | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 16.0% | 13.3% | 8.6% |
| Ben Palmer | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 17.9% | 48.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 13.2% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 3.5% |
| Joshua Stone | 5.4% | 3.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 20.9% | 19.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.