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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.22+10.82vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.78vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+6.32vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii1.74+9.31vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.14+6.85vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.57vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+2.31vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.42vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16+2.89vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.58+0.52vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.23+0.74vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.37-4.73vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-4.25vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-6.11vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.72-9.43vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.75-6.50vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.37-9.93vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.99-9.74vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.82University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.78Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.32Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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13.31University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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11.85Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.57Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.31Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.58U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.89University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.52George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.74Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.27College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.75Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.89Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.57Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.5Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.07University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 12.7% | 11.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 2.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 12.5% | 26.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 13.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.2% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 2.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.