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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.72+3.72vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+8.89vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+4.13vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.87vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+0.90vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+2.40vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14+3.88vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+1.17vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.74+3.69vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16+1.03vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.84-2.55vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.22-1.50vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.75-4.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College2.49-4.52vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.99-7.44vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.29vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.90-9.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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5.72Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.89Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.13Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.87University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.4Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.88Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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10.17George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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13.69University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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12.03University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.45Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.5University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.17Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.64Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 8.6% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.7% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 10.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 11.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.8% | 27.7% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.6% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% |
| Charlotte List | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Emma White | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 2.7% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.