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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.83vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+7.08vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+2.73vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.14+7.87vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+4.38vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+3.41vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.11vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.50vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.58+1.19vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-1.27vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.05-2.67vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.16+0.24vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.49-2.66vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.74-0.84vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.23-3.39vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.23vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-7.71vs Predicted
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18College of Charleston3.37-11.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.08Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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5.73Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.87Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.38Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.41Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.89University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.19George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.73Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.33Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.24University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.34Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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13.16University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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11.61Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.29Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.66College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.3% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 12.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 2.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.9% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% |
| Emma White | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 13.2% | 23.5% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 11.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.