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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.48+6.03vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+5.11vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+3.25vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.71+2.46vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.18+3.20vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+2.04vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.75+3.10vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.93+1.19vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston2.40+2.64vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.53-3.10vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.41+0.49vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.70-1.72vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.91-3.44vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.42-6.45vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University1.56-0.96vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.92-6.56vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.86-7.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.03Boston College3.480.1%1st Place
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7.11Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.46Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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8.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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10.1Boston University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Vermont2.930.1%1st Place
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11.64College of Charleston2.400.0%1st Place
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6.9Brown University3.530.1%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College2.410.0%1st Place
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10.28University of South Florida2.700.0%1st Place
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9.56Eckerd College2.910.0%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.420.1%1st Place
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14.04Roger Williams University1.560.0%1st Place
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9.44Stanford University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.71University of Rhode Island2.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Briana Provancha | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Marlena Fauer | 9.6% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 11.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Caroline Wilhelm | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% |
| Kimberly Kaull | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.1% |
| Carly Shevitz | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 11.5% |
| Jennifer Adler | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Fiske | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 14.6% | 12.9% |
| Hillary Noble | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 6.1% |
| Kaye Siemers | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Hanna Vincent | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Bianca Rom | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 42.7% |
| Hannah Burroughs | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Liv Gunnarsson | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.