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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont0.84+6.92vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.08+4.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University1.59+2.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.14+0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.30+1.39vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University1.60-0.51vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.77+0.40vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University0.46-0.35vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.95-1.66vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.67+2.32vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.03-0.77vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.18-5.92vs Predicted
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13Fairfield University0.42-4.55vs Predicted
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14McGill University-0.53-2.46vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.93-2.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.92University of Vermont0.846.2%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University1.087.4%1st Place
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5.71Yale University1.5910.2%1st Place
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4.07Brown University2.1418.5%1st Place
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6.39University of Rhode Island1.308.1%1st Place
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5.49Roger Williams University1.6010.5%1st Place
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7.4Northeastern University0.776.6%1st Place
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7.65Salve Regina University0.466.5%1st Place
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7.34Boston University0.955.5%1st Place
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12.32Bates College-0.671.1%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.032.6%1st Place
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6.08Tufts University1.1810.5%1st Place
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8.45Fairfield University0.424.3%1st Place
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11.54McGill University-0.531.4%1st Place
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12.47Salve Regina University-0.930.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Smith | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Oliver Keeves | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Mathias Reimer | 10.2% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Lamm | 18.5% | 16.6% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Chwalk | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Roman | 10.5% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Peter Taboada | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Emil Tullberg | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Dylan Balunas | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Yolles | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 11.8% | 22.2% | 32.7% |
| Luke Kenahan | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 14.3% | 7.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 5.3% | 1.6% |
| Tessa Hason | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 19.1% |
| Tyler Winowiecki | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 19.6% | 33.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.