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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.78vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.73vs Predicted
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3Tufts University2.23+8.93vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.29vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90+3.70vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75+3.51vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+2.07vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.12vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.70vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-1.57vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.34vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-3.15vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.16-1.28vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.76vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston3.37-8.19vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-5.78vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-4.83vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-4.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.93Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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9.29Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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8.7Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.51Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.07Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.7University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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8.43Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.66Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.85Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.72University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.22George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.17Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 13.1% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 11.9% | 10.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.5% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.6% |
| Emma White | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 11.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 10.4% | 14.3% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 13.2% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.