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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+7.41vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.37+5.03vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.90+6.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+1.54vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.49+5.41vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+0.87vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+3.15vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.48vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16+2.95vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-0.28vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.31vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-2.20vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.14-1.19vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-5.80vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-6.01vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.23-4.30vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.19vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.41Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.03College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.04Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.54Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.41Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.15George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.95University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.72Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.69Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.8Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.81Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.7Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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11.81University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.5% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 13.2% | 11.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 12.5% |
| Emma White | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 11.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.8% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 14.7% | 22.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.