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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+8.03vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.84+7.32vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+6.68vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.72+1.58vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.58+5.08vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.60vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-0.10vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+2.46vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77+0.34vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14+2.26vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16+1.04vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.50vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College2.99-4.64vs Predicted
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14University of Hawaii1.74-0.86vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.22-3.40vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.34vs Predicted
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17Tufts University2.23-5.24vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island3.37-11.30vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.32Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.68Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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5.58Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.08George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.9College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.46Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.34Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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12.26Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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12.04University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.5Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.36Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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13.14University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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11.6University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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11.76Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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6.7University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.3% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.6% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 13.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 13.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Emma White | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 23.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 10.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 8.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 10.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.