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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.90+8.03vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+7.68vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.72+2.75vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.50vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+1.93vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.55vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99+1.47vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+3.81vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.52vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.05-1.58vs Predicted
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11University of Hawaii1.74+2.59vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-2.31vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-6.23vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.62vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-5.94vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-5.73vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University2.14-4.87vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.23-6.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.68Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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5.75Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.55Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.47Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.81University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.42Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.59University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.38University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.06Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.27George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.13Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.46Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julia Lambert | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Ragna Agerup | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.1% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Emma White | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.2% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 27.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 10.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 1.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.3% | 11.7% | 13.2% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 10.7% | 9.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.