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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.81vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+7.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.84+6.34vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+7.72vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.57vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College2.49+4.57vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+3.14vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.37-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.67vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.14+2.28vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.37-4.02vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.49vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.55vs Predicted
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14Tufts University2.23-2.69vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College2.99-6.60vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.74-2.38vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-7.33vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-8.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.02Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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11.72University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.57U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.57Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.14George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.8University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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12.28Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.98College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.51Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.31Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.4Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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13.62University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.67Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.13Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 12.3% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 1.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.3% | 11.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 10.2% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 14.4% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.3% | 10.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 9.2% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 14.5% | 26.5% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.