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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.82vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+7.03vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+5.35vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.84+4.99vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.72+0.62vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University2.14+6.04vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.37-0.12vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-1.19vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-0.66vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-0.27vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.31vs Predicted
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12Tufts University2.230.00vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-2.98vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.77-4.95vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.16-3.13vs Predicted
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16University of Hawaii1.74-2.37vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.29vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.22-6.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.03Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.35Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.99Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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5.62Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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12.04Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.88University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.81College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.34Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.73Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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12.0Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.02George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.05Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.87University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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11.43University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.1% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% |
| Ragna Agerup | 14.0% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 13.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 13.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 25.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.