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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.81vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+7.76vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+7.40vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.60vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.23+6.49vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+2.84vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.37-0.08vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+2.42vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.86vs Predicted
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10University of Hawaii1.74+3.69vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.77-1.46vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.14+0.31vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-6.18vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.99-5.86vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.22-3.41vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.16-4.02vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.84-7.83vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.76Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.4George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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6.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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11.49Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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8.84Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.92College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.42Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.14Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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13.69University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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9.54Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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12.31Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.82University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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11.59University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.98University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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9.17Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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9.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 11.7% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 10.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 2.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 26.2% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 15.3% |
| Sarah Hermus | 10.5% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Emma White | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.