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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University2.84+8.07vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.16+10.03vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.37+3.91vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+2.96vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+5.51vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.20+0.41vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.49+2.30vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-0.80vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.36vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-2.25vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-2.43vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-3.13vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.50-3.99vs Predicted
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15Old Dominion University2.14-3.16vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.37-9.22vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.34vs Predicted
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18University of Hawaii1.74-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.07Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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12.03University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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6.91College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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6.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.96Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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11.51Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.41Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.3Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.2Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.64Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.75Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.57Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.87George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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10.01Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.84Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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6.78University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.66University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Dana Rohde | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 8.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% |
| Emma White | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 12.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 10.9% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 13.9% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.