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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.58vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.99+6.49vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+4.58vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.12vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+1.75vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+5.49vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.49+3.35vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.14+3.74vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.16+2.80vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.90-1.10vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.84-1.98vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-1.36vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.74+0.21vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-7.85vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.37-8.34vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-5.91vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-5.37vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.05-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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8.49Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.12Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.75College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.49Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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10.35Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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11.74Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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11.8University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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8.9Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.02Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.64Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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13.21University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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6.15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.66University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.09George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.63University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.81Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Emma White | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Molly Pleskus | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% |
| Charlotte List | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 11.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 14.1% | 23.8% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.9% | 13.2% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 10.7% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.