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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.55vs Predicted
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2Old Dominion University2.14+10.16vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+6.67vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+4.15vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.50+5.26vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.23+5.49vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+0.97vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.90+0.58vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii1.74+4.39vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.37-3.01vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.49-0.52vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.77-2.39vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.16-1.47vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.20-6.87vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-6.16vs Predicted
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16University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.43vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.37-10.15vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.58-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.16Old Dominion University2.140.0%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.15Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.26Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.49Tufts University2.230.0%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.58Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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13.39University of Hawaii1.740.0%1st Place
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6.99University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.61Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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11.53University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.13Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.84Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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11.57University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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6.85College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.79George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 9.2% | 13.4% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Windemuller | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 12.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Emma White | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| Molly Pleskus | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% |
| Caitlin Schadt | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 14.2% | 23.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 11.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 9.1% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 10.3% | 11.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 10.8% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.